How an unusual Door County landscape is helping researchers learn how Great Lake water levels affect groundwater and forests in coastal areas 

Landscapes tell a story. That can be obvious to the casual observer traveling around the state, whether it’s taking a scenic fall drive through the Driftless Area in southwest Wisconsin, exploring the potholes and drumlins of Kettle Moraine State Forest near Milwaukee, or kayaking among the water-etched sea caves off Lake Superior’s Apostle Islands.

To the trained eye, those landscapes also tell a story, but one goes beyond a quick photo and may provide answers to important research questions. University of Wisconsin-Madison Professor Steven Loheide, graduate student Eric Kastelic, Freshwater@UW summer students Lucie Carignan and Ella Flattum, and collaborators are focusing their collective scientific gaze on a particular section along Door County’s southeast coast for clues to a decades-old question: How do Great Lakes water level changes affect groundwater and forests along our coasts?

The Ridges Sanctuary is a 1,700-acre nature preserve tucked along the bottom half of Door County as it pokes into Lake Michigan just above the community of Bailey’s Harbor. Initially established in 1937 as Wisconsin’s first land trust, the sanctuary is a National Natural Landmark noted for a rich concentration of rare plants, including 25 species of orchids. What really sets this place apart from other preserves, however, is the 30 or so swales and crescent-shaped ridges that line the sanctuary from west to east.

These are the areas where Loheide, Kastelic, and team have concentrated their efforts. The sandy formations represent former beaches caused by changes in Lake Michigan water levels during the past millennia. Each is peppered with black and white spruce, balsam fir, and white pine. Between these ridges are swales, which are wet, lower areas, each containing their own collection of diverse marsh and bog flora. 

A drone photo of a ridge and swale ecosystem from above, showing parallel strips of forest and wetland next to Lake Michigan.

In ridge and swale ecosystems, forested ridges and marshy wetlands run in long strips parallel to the shore, like here at the Ridges Sanctuary.

 “What we’re interested in is how the Great Lakes and the changing water levels within the Great Lakes affect the ridge and swale ecosystems,” said Loheide. “There’s a tight connection between the surface water, the Great Lakes, and then the groundwater, which is underneath the subsurface but is feeding the wetlands and feeding the forests in these systems.”

Scientists have known for some time that water levels fluctuate in all five Great Lakes. Historically they change not just annually but over several decades with the record high being more than 6 feet higher than the record low. For Loheide, what he and his fellow researchers are most interested in are more recent water level changes.

“On short, seasonal scales, you might have a foot of variability from high water levels in one year to low water levels in that same year,” explained Loheide. “But when you look at it at a longer time frame, we see that there are cycles. For instance, in the early 2000s through about 2012-2013, we were in a low water state. That whole time, there were still ups and downs every year, but we were at low water levels, and then we went from near record lows then to record highs in 2017, 2018, and 2019. That really quick swing is something that we’re interested in.

“There’s always been a lot of variability, but we’re seeing what seems to be sometimes faster changes from low water level conditions to high water conditions, so more extremes.  And we’re actually going through the same thing right now,” said Loheide. “The high-water levels of 4-6 years ago are now dropping to below average water levels on Lake Michigan.”

Those faster water level changes could have greater impact on coastal ecosystems, and that’s where Loheide’s team has zeroed in their research efforts.

“Even since last year, lake levels have gone down about 10 inches. What does that mean for the groundwater system? Are we draining water out of the groundwater system? How much change in storage is there of our groundwater resource, and how does that affect other hydrologic and ecological processes?”

An illustrated cross-section graphic shows how the water from a lake merges with groundwater to form swales between ridges.

Great Lakes water levels impact the groundwater levels within ridge and swale ecosystems, as seen here in a cross-section created by Lucie Carignan.

Not just water and systems may be impacted, Loheide added.  “We’ve been studying trees and groundwater in Wisconsin for over a decade now, and we’ve been surprised by some of the things we’ve learned, that groundwater is used by trees. Even in a wet climate like Wisconsin where we get a lot of rain, we’re seeing that trees, particularly if they’re in sandy soils that drain really quickly, do depend on shallow groundwater, and if they have access to shallow groundwater, they do better.”

Given we know Great Lake levels fluctuate and those levels are connected to our coastal ecosystems, the team is looking at the Ridges and those funky swales lining the landscape to help them sketch out the rest of the story. “Our interest in the swales is knowing that we have lake levels that are driving changes in groundwater levels, how does that affect the ecosystem?” Loheide noted.  “How does that affect tree growth? How does that affect whether the forest might be vulnerable to either drought conditions where there’s limited water availability and the trees don’t have access to shallow groundwater, versus what happens during really high lake stages, and you end up with the roots of the plants being saturated, having low oxygen availability that can be fatal to the trees?”

The team has developed an ecohydrological observatory at The Ridges, which besides the cool name is also a great way to continuously monitor groundwater levels and changes that occur daily as the trees start to use water, from when the sun rises higher in the sky and exerts its considerable influence on the flora to when things start to shut down in the evening.

Loheide’s team, however, is looking beyond daily data. “We’re really hoping to leverage long-term data sets, and that’s coming from the trees themselves. If we core the trees, we can see variability in the annual growth. When conditions are good, when you’re getting the right amount of rain, when groundwater’s at the right level, we see larger growth rings. But, we see narrow growth rings during dry years or years where groundwater is not available, or even when groundwater’s too shallow,” said Loheide. “So that gives us an opportunity to not just have the data we collect during this two-year project, but to have a record that extends over a hundred years with some of these older trees.”

Graduate student Eric Kastelic and undergraduate researcher Lucie Carignan check in on a groundwater monitoring well that they installed at the Ridges Sanctuary, which gives them groundwater level measurements multiple times every hour.

Graduate student Eric Kastelic and undergraduate researcher Lucie Carignan check in on a groundwater monitoring well that they installed at the Ridges Sanctuary, which gives them groundwater level measurements multiple times every hour.

 
Close up of Eric Kastelic's hand holding a pencil-sized tree core.

By taking tree cores of red and white pine trees, the research team can analyze tree growth patterns going back almost 150 years.

The two-year project window Loheide references comes from funding through the Aquatic Science Center’s Water Resources Institute. Additional work was done by Joe Binzley (Hilldale Undergraduate Researcher 2025, UW-Madison) and collaborators from the Ridges Sanctuary, UW-Platteville TREES Lab, and the Wisconsin Department of Natural Resources. 

Loheide said that the findings his team develops could be used to better understand how extreme changes in water levels impact groundwater and flora not only at the Ridges but also for other areas throughout the Great Lakes.  

“We’re hopeful that we can use remote sensing tools to try to compare other sites, and if satellite data can show us how transpiration or water use might be changing,” Loheide said. “There are new satellites out there that are at fine scale that we might actually be able to see and map out the spatial variability within ridge and swale wetlands, and then also compare among them what the response is. 

“We’re excited about what the future holds.” 

The post The Swale Tale first appeared on Wisconsin Sea Grant.

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News Releases | Wisconsin Sea Grant

News Releases | Wisconsin Sea Grant

https://www.seagrant.wisc.edu/news/the-swale-tale/

Andrew Savagian

Years after high water crisis, lax policies leave Michigan coast vulnerable

By Emilio Perez Ibarguen, Bridge Michigan

The Great Lakes News Collaborative includes Bridge Michigan; Circle of Blue; Great Lakes Now at Detroit PBS; Michigan Public, Michigan’s NPR News Leader; and The Narwhal who work together to bring audiences news and information about the impact of climate change, pollution, and aging infrastructure on the Great Lakes and drinking water.

Read Now at Great Lakes Now.

Original Article

Great Lakes Now

Great Lakes Now

https://www.greatlakesnow.org/2025/06/years-after-high-water-crisis-lax-policies-leave-michigan-coast-vulnerable/

Bridge Michigan

Here’s Why the Water Looks Different This Time of Year Have you looked out at Lake Winnebago lately and thought, “Why is the water so high?” Or maybe in your neighborhood, it looks way too low? You're not alone—and best of all, you're not imagining things! Whether the lake appears to be creeping up [...]

The post Is Lake Winnebago Flooding? Or Is It Low? appeared first on Fox-Wolf Watershed Alliance.

Original Article

Fox-Wolf Watershed Alliance

Fox-Wolf Watershed Alliance

https://fwwa.org/2025/05/21/is-lake-winnebago-flooding-or-is-it-low/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=is-lake-winnebago-flooding-or-is-it-low

Fox-Wolf Watershed Alliance

If you fish it, boat it, live near it, or just plain love it—Lake Winnebago is part of your life. It’s a source of joy, pride, and countless summer memories. And believe it or not, one of the best things for this lake is something simple: plants. Yep—those weedy green patches that pop up [...]

The post Why Plants = A Healthier, Happier Lake Winnebago appeared first on Fox-Wolf Watershed Alliance.

Original Article

Fox-Wolf Watershed Alliance

Fox-Wolf Watershed Alliance

https://fwwa.org/2025/04/22/lake-winnebago-aquatic-plants-water-levels/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=lake-winnebago-aquatic-plants-water-levels

Dan Beckwith

If you fish it, boat it, live near it, or just plain love it—Lake Winnebago is part of your life. It’s a source of joy, pride, and countless summer memories. And believe it or not, one of the best things for this lake is something simple: plants. Yep—those weedy green patches that pop up [...]

The post Why Plants = A Healthier, Happier Lake Winnebago appeared first on Fox-Wolf Watershed Alliance.

Original Article

Fox-Wolf Watershed Alliance

Fox-Wolf Watershed Alliance

https://fwwa.org/2025/04/22/lake-winnebago-aquatic-plants-water-levels/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=lake-winnebago-aquatic-plants-water-levels

Dan Beckwith

Great Lakes water levels could increase on average from 19 to 44 centimeters in the next few decades, study says

New research into Great Lakes water levels looks farther into the future to predict how much climate change will increase lake levels in four of the five Great Lakes.

The predictions for the levels between now and 2050 show average increases from 2010-2019 levels of Lake Superior rising 19 centimeters (7.5 inches), Lake Erie 28 centimeters (11 inches) and lakes Michigan and Huron by 44 centimeters (17.3 inches).

Read Now at Great Lakes Now.

Original Article

Great Lakes Now

Great Lakes Now

https://www.greatlakesnow.org/2022/06/great-lakes-water-levels-increase-next-few-decades/

Natasha Blakely

MSU researchers collecting data on Great Lakes shoreline

EAST LANSING, Mich. (AP) — Researchers at Michigan State University are collecting data on how Great Lakes shoreline, including how residents view coastlines and the impact of high water levels.

Assistant professor Erin Bunting said the goal is to empower local communities, which is important to the future of the lakeshores and future research.

Read Now at Great Lakes Now.

Original Article

Great Lakes Now

Great Lakes Now

https://www.greatlakesnow.org/2021/11/ap-msu-researchers-data-great-lakes-shoreline/

The Associated Press

‘The water always wins’: Calls to protect shorelines as volatile Lake Michigan inflicts heavy toll

This article, first posted here, was republished with permission from Wisconsin Watch.

By Mario Koran, Wisconsin Watch

Mike Kahr, an engineer and owner of Death’s Door Marine, has watched Lake Michigan’s water levels fluctuate during his 40-plus year career. But even the veteran engineer hasn’t seen the lake’s water levels swing from low to high quite this rapidly.

Read Now at Great Lakes Now.

Original Article

Great Lakes Now

Great Lakes Now

https://www.greatlakesnow.org/2021/11/calls-protect-shorelines-lake-michigan/

Wisconsin Watch

‘The water always wins’: Calls to protect shorelines as volatile Lake Michigan inflicts heavy toll

This article, first posted here, was republished with permission from Wisconsin Watch.

By Mario Koran, Wisconsin Watch

Mike Kahr, an engineer and owner of Death’s Door Marine, has watched Lake Michigan’s water levels fluctuate during his 40-plus year career. But even the veteran engineer hasn’t seen the lake’s water levels swing from low to high quite this rapidly.

Read Now at Great Lakes Now.

Original Article

Great Lakes Now

Great Lakes Now

https://www.greatlakesnow.org/2021/11/calls-protect-shorelines-lake-michigan/

Wisconsin Watch

High waves wash out Chicago beaches as Lake Michigan reopens

CHICAGO (AP) — Beaches in Chicago were washed out by high waves Friday on the first day the city was to reopen Lake Michigan to swimming since summer 2019.

Waves reached up to 11 feet (3.35 meters) high, closing many of the beaches that had been set to open for the first time since Sept.

Read Now at Great Lakes Now.

Original Article

Great Lakes Now

Great Lakes Now

https://www.greatlakesnow.org/2021/06/ap-high-waves-chicago-beaches-lake-michigan/

The Associated Press

Great Lakes water surge eases after 2 record-setting years

TRAVERSE CITY, Mich. (AP) — A spell of dry, mild weather is giving the Great Lakes a break after two years of high water that has shattered records and heavily damaged shoreline roads and homes, officials said Monday.

Although still above normal, the lakes have dropped steadily since last fall and are expected to remain below 2020 levels for most of this year, according to a U.S.

Read Now at Great Lakes Now.

Original Article

Great Lakes Now

Great Lakes Now

https://www.greatlakesnow.org/2021/05/ap-great-lakes-water-surge-eases/

The Associated Press

Lake Levels: Expect higher than average lake levels but no new record

High water and erosion caused the beach stairs in Chikaming Township in southwest Michigan to collapse.

Now, two years later, volunteers have rebuilt those stairs, marking renewed access to some of the township’s most cherished assets – its public beaches – after high water in Lake Michigan rendered them unusable.

Read Now at Great Lakes Now.

Original Article

Great Lakes Now

Great Lakes Now

https://www.greatlakesnow.org/2021/05/higher-than-average-lake-levels-but-no-new-record/

Andrew Blok

The Great Lakes region should expect shorter winters, according to a long-term deep water temperature study of Lake Michigan by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Association’s Great Lakes Environmental Research Laboratory.

The post Rising deep Lake Michigan temperatures may portend shorter winters first appeared on Great Lakes Echo.

Original Article

Great Lakes Echo

Great Lakes Echo

http://greatlakesecho.org/2021/04/09/rising-deep-lake-michigan-temperatures-may-portend-shorter-winters/

Guest Contributor

In flooded Michigan neighborhoods, who should pay for sea walls?

For two straight summers, residents of Detroit’s Jefferson Chalmers neighborhood watched water pour into basements and pool in streets, a result of coastal flooding that will become increasingly common throughout the Great Lakes as climate change progresses.

Read Now at Great Lakes Now.

Original Article

Great Lakes Now

Great Lakes Now

https://www.greatlakesnow.org/2021/03/climate-change-flooded-michigan-neighborhoods-pay-sea-walls/

Bridge Michigan

More than an expected 100 water managers and researchers will gather virtually March 3 and 4 for the annual American Water Resources Association Wisconsin Section meeting to discuss and strategize regarding water challenges and opportunities. Adam Bechle, Wisconsin Sea Grant’s coastal engineer, will deliver a plenary talk.

Wisconsin has a wealth of water—1.2 quadrillion gallons of groundwater; lakes Michigan and Superior; the Mississippi, Wisconsin and St. Croix rivers; more than 5 million acres of wetlands; and more than 15,000 lakes—yet all that volume does not guarantee it’s without challenges and opportunities. That is especially true when balancing agriculture, the environment and public health.

The meeting will feature 80 presentations by researchers from the state’s University System schools, non-governmental agencies, water-related businesses and federal and state agencies.

There will be two plenary sessions. Bechle’s talk will take place at 8:30 a.m. Thursday, March 4. He will explore the reasons behind record-high water levels on the Great Lakes and what the future may bring.

Lake Michigan’s high water levels have had an effect on natural and manmade structures.

At 8:40 a.m. Wednesday, March 3, two speakers will discuss tracking COVID-19 through wastewater as well as how viruses move through groundwater.

Anyone is welcome to attend and registration is here.

The meeting is sponsored by the Freshwater Collaborative of Wisconsin with additional conference support from the University of Wisconsin Water Resources Institute, Sea Grant’s sister organization. 

The post Sea Grant’s coastal engineer to discuss Great Lakes levels first appeared on Wisconsin Sea Grant.

Original Article

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News Releases – Wisconsin Sea Grant

https://www.seagrant.wisc.edu/news/sea-grants-coastal-engineer-to-discuss-great-lakes-levels/

Moira Harrington

High Water Levels On Tap This Winter As November Marks The Start Of A New Water Year

For most people, the new year is still a month away. For hydrologists and climate scientists, the new year has already started. The water year begins in November, to account for when water enters a system and begins accumulating.

Data from the last water year indicated record-breaking levels in the Great Lakes, and this year looks to be much of the same.

Read Now at Great Lakes Now.

Original Article

Great Lakes Now

Great Lakes Now

https://www.greatlakesnow.org/2020/12/high-water-levels-water-year-wdet-watch-party/

GLN Editor

As Great Lakes pummel Michigan, beach towns rush to set development rules

By Kelly House, Bridge Michigan

The Great Lakes News Collaborative includes Bridge Michigan; Circle of Blue; Great Lakes Now at Detroit Public Television; and Michigan Radio, Michigan’s NPR News Leader; who work together to bring audiences news and information about the impact of climate change, pollution, and aging infrastructure on the Great Lakes and drinking water.

Read Now at Great Lakes Now.

Original Article

Great Lakes Now

Great Lakes Now

https://www.greatlakesnow.org/2020/11/great-lakes-pummel-michigan-beach-towns-development-rules/

Bridge Michigan

Review Underway: Will IJC’s efforts be enough for flooded shoreline municipalities?

The International Joint Commission has started an early review of its Lake Ontario water management plan, overseen by a board that includes some of its most ardent critics, in response to extensive flooding and outcry from the lake’s shoreline communities.

The IJC— the international body that regulates waterways between the United States and Canada — has received $1.5 million in funding from the U.S., with an additional $1.5 million in matched funds from Canada, for the expedited review of Plan 2014.

Read Now at Great Lakes Now.

Original Article

Great Lakes Now

Great Lakes Now

https://www.greatlakesnow.org/2020/07/review-underway-ijc-lake-ontario-flooded-shoreline/

Samantha Cantie

Face-to-face panels in Manitowoc, Somers and Mequon on Great Lakes water levels canceled; replaced by single online session

Due to concerns related to the spread of COVID-19, three face-to-face public information meetings about Great Lakes water levels have been canceled. These sessions were scheduled for Manitowoc (March 17), Somers (March 18) and Mequon (March 19).

The three in-person meetings have been replaced by a single online session, which will take place on Wednesday, March 18, from 6 to 8 p.m. People may attend this virtual session through Zoom at this web address: https://zoom.us/j/152994777

Additionally, a recording will be posted on Wisconsin Sea Grant’s YouTube channel after the events.

The online information session (like the in-person sessions that were canceled) will include experts from Wisconsin Sea Grant, the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, the National Weather Service and the Wisconsin Department of Natural Resources. (See our earlier story about these sessions here.)

The issue is timely because Great Lakes water levels have been at or near record highs in recent months, prompting concern among many Wisconsin residents. The Zoom webinar will address what’s in store for Great Lakes water levels through spring and summer of this year.

Said Dr. Adam Bechle, a coastal engineering outreach specialist with Wisconsin Sea Grant who is helping organize the webinar, “It is unfortunate that we need to cancel the three face-to-face sessions, but it is the prudent choice given the COVID-19 situation and public health. We remain committed to sharing important information about Great Lakes water levels with the public, and the online webinar will allow us to do so. We encourage people to watch it live on March 18, or look for the recorded version later.”

Questions about the Great Lakes water levels webinar may be directed to Bechle at (608) 263-5133.

Original Article

News Releases – Wisconsin Sea Grant

News Releases – Wisconsin Sea Grant

https://www.seagrant.wisc.edu/news/in-person-sessions-on-great-lakes-water-levels-replaced-by-march-18-webinar/

Jennifer Smith

Great Lakes water levels have been at or near record highs in recent months, prompting concern among many Wisconsin residents.

Those interested in learning what’s in store for Great Lakes water levels through spring and summer 2020 are invited to attend one of three upcoming informational meetings in communities along Lake Michigan.

At each session, attendees will hear from experts from Wisconsin Sea Grant, the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, the National Weather Service and the Wisconsin Department of Natural Resources. There will also be time for attendees to ask questions. Seating at all sessions is available on a first-come, first-served basis.

The three sessions are:

Manitowoc: Tuesday, March 17, 6 to 8 p.m.
UW-Green Bay, Manitowoc Campus
University Theater
705 Viebahn St.
Manitowoc, WI 54420

Somers/Kenosha: Wednesday, March 18, 6 to 8 p.m.
UW-Parkside
Student Center Cinema
900 Wood Rd.
Somers, WI 53133

Mequon: Thursday, March 19, 6 to 8 p.m.
MATC Mequon Campus
Lecture Hall, Room A289
5555 W. Highland Rd.
Mequon, WI 53092

Dr. Adam Bechle, a coastal engineering outreach specialist with Wisconsin Sea Grant, will speak at all three panels. Said Bechle, “We have worked with federal, state and local partners to host a couple of these meetings in the past few months, and they have been quite well attended. With Great Lakes water levels already breaking records this year, demand for information continues to grow. These meetings will help folks understand the current water level situation, as well as possible steps forward to address the impacts of these high water levels.”

Those who are unable to attend the events in person may attend virtually through Zoom.

Additionally, a recording will be posted on Wisconsin Sea Grant’s YouTube channel after the events.

View or print an event flyer here.

View or print a list of resources for Great Lakes property owners here.

Questions about the events may be directed to Bechle at (608) 263-5133.

Original Article

News Releases – Wisconsin Sea Grant

News Releases – Wisconsin Sea Grant

https://www.seagrant.wisc.edu/news/experts-host-additional-panels-about-great-lakes-water-levels-and-their-impact/

Jennifer Smith